Common claims to validate
“gives better predictions earlier than shorter occupancy duration (better here being more accurate in relation to final occupancy counts)”
“are less volatile predictions than shorter occupancy duration (volatile meaning subject to sudden changes)”
Study objective - How accurate and volatile are air-traffic control predictions?
The main objectives of this present study were to validate or invalidate several assumptions, by comparing the different metrics both qualitatively and quantitatively using the following indicators for each occupancy duration:
- The traffic predictability, i.e. the quality of the prediction
- The traffic prediction volatility, i.e. the changes over time of the prediction